Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 7.985019 8.992296 10.039310 11.205724 12.465678 13.782560 15.259871
2024-10-27 6.061171 7.433610 8.943667 10.715463 12.724308 14.918516 17.483451
2024-11-03 5.235162 6.831188 8.659751 10.882927 13.485773 16.410478 19.918445
2024-11-10 4.628062 6.376276 8.450285 11.048175 14.170617 17.759571 22.152037
2024-11-17 4.003548 5.817884 8.044070 10.911974 14.443341 18.586342 23.748805
2024-11-24 3.565607 5.440902 7.812936 10.945369 14.884014 19.586089 25.534151
2024-12-01 3.165672 5.069391 7.549744 10.903460 15.203756 20.420786 27.111476
2024-12-08 2.834452 4.755991 7.331341 10.891246 15.538917 21.260236 28.688587
2024-12-15 2.760273 4.792070 7.571268 11.473561 16.632838 23.048348 31.448621
2024-12-22 2.498988 4.533121 7.388682 11.477622 16.968608 23.881496 33.026325
2024-12-29 2.433355 4.556704 7.593466 12.002485 17.988014 25.588102 35.712933
2025-01-05 2.314838 4.487972 7.659084 12.331689 18.748323 26.969021 38.001109
2025-01-12 2.036146 4.149268 7.321919 12.094022 18.751674 27.385779 39.087968
2025-01-19 1.716249 3.712119 6.810920 11.583888 18.363275 27.276318 39.490255
2025-01-26 1.598970 3.602103 6.783152 11.760215 18.912594 28.399303 41.491200
2025-02-02 1.491959 3.499314 6.758261 11.934894 19.457514 29.518955 43.496296
2025-02-09 1.326611 3.275163 6.527505 11.790967 19.544554 30.020165 44.689186
2025-02-16 1.213324 3.135085 6.421487 11.826257 19.880755 30.856038 46.327659
2025-02-23 1.095609 2.973722 6.269564 11.781970 20.096097 31.524856 47.745997
2025-03-02 0.994322 2.833440 6.143188 11.769061 20.351523 32.246815 49.238193
2025-03-09 1.004978 2.923548 6.412983 12.384213 21.536361 34.264155 52.492077
2025-03-16 0.917125 2.797739 6.301486 12.388501 21.816493 35.026786 54.055169
2025-03-23 0.918915 2.865038 6.530736 12.942543 22.920219 36.947456 57.204233